Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Week 11 Picks

5-5 last week, 2-1 on Big Picks.  You can view a spreadsheet with all of our picks and results this season here.  The big limitation of the Massey-Peabody rankings is that they do not account for injuries.  So with all the QB carnage in Week 10, there are some teams that our rankings will have inflated.  How well Tyler Palko will perform filling in for Matt Cassel is anybody's guess.  We'll do our best to determine which QB changes skew our ratings, and omit those from picks.

On to the games.  Lines from Covers.com as of 3:00pm PST.  Injuries and matchup factors not accounted for in M-P lines.

Big Plays [17-8 YTD]:

Den +6.5 vs NYJ (M-P= +2.3)

Other Plays [24-19-1 YTD]:

Cin +7 at Bal (M-P= +3.3)
GB -14 vs TB (M-P= -17.1)
Was +7.5 vs Dal (M-P= +4.7)
Chi -3.5 vs SD (M-P= -6.1)

*We're omitting Phi +4.5 at NYG (M-P= +0.4) since Michael Vick's status is uncertain.  Might add this pick later in the week depending on how the Vick injury sorts itself out.

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