Thursday, November 10, 2011

Week 10 Picks

Went 5-3 last week (2-1 on top picks).  Cincy had a nice second half rally to cover and win.  Got a bit of a lucky break with the Arizona punt return TD in OT to win that one, but we'll take it.  We have now had winning weeks in 6 of the 7 weeks we've been making these picks this season.  And the one losing week was only 3-4-1.  It's been surprisingly consistent from week to week.

On to this week's picks; lines from Covers.com as of Thursday at 2pm PST.  Big picks have edges of >4 points; Other picks have edges of 2-4 points.  As always, these picks do not take into account injuries or matchup factors.

Big Picks [16-7 YTD]:

Buf +5.5 at Dal (MP= +0.4)
SF -3.5 vs NYG (MP= -8.4)
Hou -3 at TB (MP= -7.8)

Other Picks [21-15-1 YTD]:

Cle -3 vs STL (MP= -6.7)
Mia -4 vs Was (MP= -7.6)
*Oak +7 at SD (MP= +3.8)
Cin +3 at PIT (MP=+0.0)
Car -3.5 vs Ten (MP= -6.2)
Det +3 at Chi (MP= +0.6)
Den +3 at KC (MP= +0.8)

*Carson Palmer starting his 2nd game in place of Jason Campbell; Oakland has played 2 games without Campbell, but we're going to include this pick, as Palmer is not a significant downgrade.

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