Thursday, January 19, 2012

Conference Championship Picks

1-0 last week. Only three games left in the season and happily we do have a pick this weekend. In fact it's very nearly in the "Big Play" category (more than a 4-point edge). Usual deal - no weather, injuries or matchups considered here. Lines are from 15 minutes ago.

Big Plays (22-12 YTD)

No big plays this week.

Other Plays (40-35-2 YTD)

SF -2.5 vs. NYG [MP= -6.4]

In the AFC we have New England by -5.6 vs. Baltimore, while the market has them at -7. That line opened at 7.5 so has moved toward us a bit.

In short, we think the Niners are a little more likely to win than the Patriots, while the market thinks they are considerably less likely to.

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