Week 8 Picks

3-2 last week. 1-0 on our Big Pick. Remember, we did not count Oakland as a pick. The distinction we made between MIN and OAK's QB changes was that MIN made the decision to change their QB, the implication being that it gave them a better chance to win (and develop their rookie QB), whereas OAK's QB change was due to injury and we'd expect a substantial downgrade there.  Naturally, our rankings would overvalue Oakland.

On to this week--lines are from Covers.com as of 15 minutes ago; "Big Picks" are >4-point edges, "Other Picks" have 2-4 point edges, no consideration of injuries, weather, etc.

Big Picks [12-5 YTD]:

Ind +9 at Ten (MP= +3.9)
Ari +12.5 at Bal (MP= +8.2)

Other Picks [13-11-1 YTD]:

Hou -9 vs Jac (MP= -12.1)

Mia +9.5 at NYG (MP= +5.8)

*Buf -5.5 vs Was (MP= -8.1)

Den +3 vs Det (MP= -0.5)

Pit +3 vs NE (MP= -0.4)
SF -9 vs Cle (MP= -11.1)
Dal +3 at Phi (MP= -0.5)

*Buffalo is playing their yearly "home" game in Toronto.  Home field advantage probably not as strong, but we'll leave it as a pick.