The Seahawks proved all the "experts" wrong last week...or did they? After upsetting the Saints as a double-digit underdog, Seattle is once again getting no respect from the betting public as a 10-point dog. Want proof that the 'Hawks can win in Chicago? How about their 23-20 win at Soldier Field on October 17th. While we at Massey-Peabody are not predicting a win, we believe the Seahawks will cover (and have a 29.8% chance winning outright against a Bears team that is only slightly better than average).
Green Bay Packers +2.5 @ Atlanta Falcons (M-P Line: GB -1.0)
For the second straight week, Massey-Peabody will ride the Packers on the road against a good but not great team. This is an especially interesting matchup, as the Packers are a great team on paper--the best in the NFC according to M-P--but have failed to do the little things in their 6 losses. The Falcons, on the other hand, do not have particularly impressive numbers, but have excelled on special teams, won the turnover battle, and made the most of their opportunities on offense. Much of Atlanta's success M-P attributes to luck. However, it is worth noting that Atlanta has one of the most innovative coaches in the league, Mike Smith, who has gone for it on 4th-down-and-short in opponent's territory a higher percentage of the time than any other coach. Mike McCarthy, Green Bay's head coach, has struggled with play calling inside the red zone, clock management, and late-game strategy throughout his tenure. The Packers are the play here--hopefully their superior talent is able to trump Atlanta's superior coaching.
Other Lines (edges not sufficient to bet):
PIT -4.6 vs. BAL
NE -9.7 vs. NYJ
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